Basic HTML Version
International Journal of Marine Science 2014, Vol.4, No.27, 245-252
http://ijms.biopublisher.ca
251
sustainability index value of fisheries resources
management in the Thousand Islands and shows the
difference of the average value of the two analyzes are
very small (1.27%). This means that the MDS
analyzes model was adequate to estimate the
sustainability index value of the fisheries in the
Thousand Islands. The differences small value
indicates the error that has been made in the analysis
process due to fault of score given and it can be
minimized or avoid (Fauzi et al., 2005).
Monte Carlo Analysis can also be used as simulation
methods to evaluate the impact of random error in the
statistic analysis conducted to the entirely dimension
(Kavanagh and Pitcher, 2004). The result of MDS and
Monte Carlo Analysis is shown on Table 2 .
Table 2 Difference of sustainability index value of Rap-Insus in the Thousand Islands and the Monte Carlo analysis
Dimension
Sustainability Index Value (%)
MDS
Monte Carlo (MC)
Difference (MDS-MC)
Difference (MDS-MC)%
Ecology
48,63
49,96
1,33
2,69
Economy
55,44
55,03
0,41
0,74
Social
56,64
55,73
0,91
1,60
Legal and Institutional
43,73
44,28
0,55
1,25
Infrastructure and Technology
34,17
34,21
0,04
0,11
Average
47,72
47,84
0,65
1,27
2.7 Test of accuracy
The accuracy test of the MDS analysis (good and fit)
obtained the coefficient of determination (R
2
) between
93.86% - 95.18% or bigger than 80% and it can be
categorized as good and fit (Kavanagh, 2001). The
stress value of 0.14 to 0.16, or the difference of stress
value is at 0.02 and with this result the obtained MDS
analysis has a high accuracy (good and fit) to assess
fisheries sustainability index in the Thousand Islands
(Fisheries, 1999). The stress value of determination
Koefisien on Rap-Insus analysis Rap-Insus in the
Thousand Islands is presented in Table 3.
Table 3 Stress value and the value of determination (R
2
) Rap-Insus result in the Thousand Islands
No. Parameter
Dimension of
Ecology
Dimension of
economy
Dimension Social
Dimension Legal and
D Institutional
Dimensio Infrastructure
and Technology
1
Value of Index
48,63
55,44
56,64
43,73
34,17
2
Value of Stress
0,142
0,136
0,134
0,148
0,135
3
Value of R
2
95,12
95,45
95,12
94,85
94,95
4
Number of Iteration 2
2
2
2
2
3 Discussion
Based on the analysis of the sustainability index value
to the 5 dimensions that have been conducted, it can
be illustrated by the kites diagram from fishery
resources management in the Thousand Islands as
Figure 12.
Figure 12 shows legal and institutional, technology
and infrastructure, and the ecology are less or not
sustainable. The limitation of the fishermen on fishing
rules and the low enforcement of society’s
institutional role making the system of the use of
fisheries resources management becomes over fishing.
While the lack of transportation making the Thousand
Island region isolated from other areas in Jakarta, and
Figure 12 Kites Diagram layang-layang of the fishery resources
management in the Thousand Islands based on RAPFISH
analysis result